Sports playing can be quite profitable if a person know the techniques the particular “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make cash. One of the primary secrets that wise money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.
Here’s a ideal case in point. My spouse and i analyzed often the West Florida vs. Louisville activity, and concluded the fact that West California had often the edge in the activity. Nonetheless I also understood that there were a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not bet on this kind of game. Here is our analysis I released in advance of the game:
West California vs . Louisville
This activity features all the symptoms of being one connected with the greatest games connected with the year, using both teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, each with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, having Rest of the world Virginia coming back from staying down major in the next 1 / 4 to winning throughout overtime, however,.
So what’s the overall game seem like this year?
When this game were as played at some sort of neutral field, West Florida would probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since this game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented roll. They will haven’t lost considering that March. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they dropped to Florida Tech. On the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 HIGHWAY games.
These kind of are some very remarkable stats that tilt the scales in favor of WVU intended for tonight’s game. Plus, the additional benefit is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This might not appear like much, but in a near match-up similar to this, that excess point can make the big difference between a good push in addition to a loss.
But you may be wondering what regarding Louisville?
Louisville’s numbers are usually almost as good while WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their very own last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS within their last 10 home games.
Together with if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at home since 12 , 18, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points for every game at home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. six points per game on home. In case an individual failed to do the math concepts, that means considering their last home reduction they are yet to averaged beating their particular oppositions by means of about thirty four things per game.
What’s more extraordinary, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten often the spread, on average, by 13 things per game at home considering the year 2003.
Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?
Here’s the way…
Nearly all of those stats were built up during the july 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They are yet to experienced recent games in which they’ve only scored twenty-eight, twenty three, 24 points. These games weren’t against Oh Stycken. or Michigan. พนันมวย ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.
In essence of which this is still a good close game to contact. Yet what I look for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s zero factor to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to mid 20’s. My honest suggestion is definitely to lay off that game and certainly not wager at all. There happen to be better games this end of the week with more simple positive aspects.
The final score with this game was Louisville 46, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to gain a good punt for a good TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s fringe had not been so big that they could very well still win following producing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this video game, people significant about gambling saved money they will can offer better use on upcoming games.