Sports betting can be quite profitable if anyone know the secrets the “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make income. One of the primary secrets that sensible money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a perfect example of this. I actually analyzed often the Western Virginia vs. Louisville match, and concluded that will West Las vegas had this edge in the video game. Nonetheless I actually also noticed that there were a whole lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not wager on this game. Here is my personal analysis I released in advance of the game:
West California vs . Louisville
This game possesses all the indications of being one regarding the greatest games regarding the year, with both teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, each having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, together with Rest of the world Virginia coming back again from staying down large in the next quarter to winning throughout overtime, however,.
So what’s the action search like this year?
In the event this game were as played with a new natural field, West Florida would certainly probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since typically the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented throw. Many people haven’t lost since July. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. In the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last on the lookout for game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 STREET games.
These are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s online. Plus, the particular added in bonus offer is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This might not appear like significantly, but in a in close proximity match-up like this, that extra point might make the difference between the push and a loss.
But what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s statistics are really almost as good since WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS in their very last 10 home games.
In addition to if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your own home since December 18, 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. four points every game at home, while hitting only stopping 15. 6 points for every game at home. In case a person failed to do the math concepts, that means since their very own last home loss they already have averaged beating their very own adversaries by about 34 items per game.
What’s more impressive, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten this spread, on average, by simply 13 points per video game at home considering that 2003.
Wow… how can araiwania go against that?
Many of those stats were being accumulated during the july 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They are yet to experienced recent games by which they also have only scored twenty-eight, 23, 24 points. These activities weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. That they were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
In essence of which this is still the close video game to get in touch with. But the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s simply no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is to lay off this game and not wager at all. There are better games this end of the week with more clear-cut advantages.
The final score of the game was Louisville 46, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to gain a good punt for a new TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s advantage was not so big they will can still win following generating so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this kind of match, people really serious regarding gambling saved money that they can offer better employ on approaching games.