Sports betting can be very profitable if an individual know the secrets often the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that sensible money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT in order to bet.
Here’s a perfect case in point. I analyzed the Western Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded the fact that West Virginia had often the edge in the sport. However , I also recognized that there initially were a great deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not wager on that game. Here is my personal analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Va or Louisville
This online game features all the symptoms of being one regarding the best games regarding the year, having each teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, along with Western side Virginia coming back again from appearing down big in the independence day one fourth to winning inside overtime.
So what’s the action look like this year?
In the event that this game were getting played at a new simple field, West Las vegas would probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since typically the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make 안전놀이터 …
West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost considering April. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they lost to Va Tech. Through the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 ROUTE games.
These kinds of are some very outstanding stats that tilt often the scales in favor of WVU with regard to tonight’s game. Plus, typically the added reward is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This can not look like significantly, but in a near match-up such as this, that more point will make the variation between some sort of push and a loss.
But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s figures are almost as good while WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular final 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS in their very last 10 home video games.
In addition to if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at your home since 12 , 16, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points per game in the home, while hitting only stopping 15. six points for each game with home. In case you did not do the figures, that means since their own last home decline they’ve averaged beating their very own adversaries by simply about thirty four details per game.
What’s more remarkable, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten often the pass on, on average, simply by 13 things per video game at home due to the fact 2003.
Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?
Here’s exactly how…
Almost all of those stats ended up piled up during the june 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They have already got recent games through which they’ve only scored twenty eight, 3, 24 points. That games weren’t against Iowa Street. or Michigan. They will had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.
In essence that will this is still a good close video game to call. Yet the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s simply no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to core 20’s. My honest advice will be to lay off this particular game and not necessarily wager at all. There are usually better activities this end of the week with more simple benefits.
The final score on this game was Louisville forty-four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to give back a good punt for some sort of TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s advantage had not been so big which they can still win soon after making so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this particular match, people really serious about wagering saved money these people can offer better use on forthcoming games.